I just read something that speedle wrote in a post over in the uNL 2+2 FR forums, and it got me thinking. He said that if he PFR, flopped TPTK HU IP, and got c/r on the flop, then he would often check behind if given the chance on the turn. I have my doubts about this technique, but also see some bonuses in it. My doubts are obviously that you're letting the draws see a free card. Now at NL25, the chance that someone is c/r-ing with a draw is pretty damn small, but you never know. Now the bonuses are that it controls pot size, which is something I don't really do.
For example if both players on the flop began the hand with 100BB stacks, that puts about 5 BBs each in the pot from the PFR, and 90BBs left in front of each player. After a checkraise about 25 more BBs will go in from each player, making the pot 60 BBs, and the stacks at 65 BBs, for an SPR of about 1. On the turn if you bet, then you are pretty much committing yourself, as any bet lower than 25 BBs wont be folded to given pot size,and any bet over leaves you with 40BBs left and a 115BBs pot, which means you're committed. However committing with TPTK on the turn with average stacks is probably not a +EV strategy.
Ahh... I don't know. I'm definitely learning a lot but there is also clearly so much to learn, and while math is the easy part, analysis is quite the opposite. Either way checking behind on the turn in this spot, ESPECIALLY when deepstacked, is probably the right move.
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
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